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Activity Chart: (via SPC)
Activity Chart Convective Today Convective Day 2 Convective Day 3 Convective Day 4 - 8
Mesoscale Discussions Convective Watches Fire Wx Day 1 Fire Wx Day 2 Probability

Today's Convective Outlook

      
000
ACUS01 KWNS 090104
SWODY1
SPC AC 090103

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0803 PM CDT WED SEP 08 2010

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER SCNTRL/SE OK...NCNTRL/NE
TX AND SWRN AR...

...SCNTRL/SE OK-NCNTRL/NE TX-SW AR...
CENTER OF REMNANT HERMINE WAS LOCATED JUST N OF KSPS AT 00Z AND WILL
ACCELERATE NEWD INTO CNTRL/NRN OK OVERNIGHT WHILE BECOMING
INCREASINGLY BAROCLINIC.  SLY LLJ OF 45 KTS TIED TO THIS SYSTEM WILL
CORRESPONDINGLY SHIFT NWD FROM NE TX INTO ERN OK THROUGH 12Z.  ZONE
OF 0-1KM SRH IN EXCESS OF 150 MS/S2 INVOF THE RED RIVER WILL SHIFT
NWD AS A RESULT.  RICH LLVL THETA-E AIR MASS WILL ALSO TRANSLATE NWD
TO AROUND I-40 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE NIGHT.

DEEPENING CONVECTIVE TOWERS NEAR THE SFC LOW AND RECENT ENHANCEMENT
OF NRN FRINGES OF PRE-EXISTING WARM SECTOR LLVL CONFLUENCE BANDS IN
THE RED RIVER VALLEY WILL DENOTE STRONGEST THREAT FOR BRIEF
TORNADOES THROUGH MID-EVENING.  NAMELY...THIS WILL INCLUDE AREAS
EAST OF I-35 AND S OF I-40 IN OK...PERHAPS EXTREME NCNTRL/NERN TX
AND SWRN AR.  THEREAFTER...EXPECT STRONGEST ASCENT TO SHIFT N OF THE
COMPARATIVELY RICH LLVL BOUNDARY LAYER LATER THIS EVENING.

..RACY.. 09/09/2010



      


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